{"id":5233,"date":"2024-07-22T12:52:53","date_gmt":"2024-07-22T12:52:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thefortune.one\/?p=5233"},"modified":"2024-10-09T10:28:35","modified_gmt":"2024-10-09T13:28:35","slug":"mercado-volta-a-projetar-inflacao-acima-de-4-em-2024-e-preve-dolar-mais-alto","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thefortune.one\/pt\/mercado-volta-a-projetar-inflacao-acima-de-4-em-2024-e-preve-dolar-mais-alto\/","title":{"rendered":"Mercado volta a projetar infla\u00e7\u00e3o acima de 4% em 2024 e prev\u00ea d\u00f3lar mais alto"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/istoedinheiro.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/Reuters_Direct_Media\/BrazilOnlineReportBusinessNews\/tagreuters.com2024binary_LYNXMPEK6I001-VIEWIMAGE.jpg?x46096\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00a0<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Analistas consultados pelo Banco Central voltaram a subir a expectativa para a alta do IPCA ao fim deste ano, superando novamente 4%, assim como tamb\u00e9m melhoraram suas proje\u00e7\u00f5es para a economia de 2024 e elevaram a perspectiva para o d\u00f3lar neste ano e no pr\u00f3ximo, de acordo a pesquisa Focus divulgada nesta segunda-feira, 22.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>O levantamento, que capta a percep\u00e7\u00e3o do mercado para indicadores econ\u00f4micos, mostrou que a expectativa para o IPCA no t\u00e9rmino deste ano subiu para 4,05%, de 4% na semana anterior, no que havia sido a primeira queda na proje\u00e7\u00e3o ap\u00f3s nove semanas consecutivas de alta.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>A revis\u00e3o ocorre na esteira do aumento na perspectiva para a alta dos pre\u00e7os administrados neste ano, agora em 4,59%, de 4,11% antes.\u00a0A expectativa para o avan\u00e7o do IPCA em 2025 foi mantida em 3,90%.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>O centro da meta oficial para a infla\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 de 3,00%, sempre com margem de toler\u00e2ncia de 1,5 ponto percentual para mais ou menos.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">D\u00f3lar em R$ 5,30\u00a0 no fim do ano<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>A pesquisa semanal com uma centena de economistas mostrou ainda que a taxa de c\u00e2mbio agora \u00e9 vista em 5,30 reais ao fim de 2024, ante 5,22 reais na semana anterior. No pr\u00f3ximo ano, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para o valor do d\u00f3lar passou a 5,23 reais, de 5,20 reais anteriormente.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Na semana passada, os investidores voltaram a acirrar suas preocupa\u00e7\u00f5es com o ajuste das contas p\u00fablicas brasileiras, depois que o presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva questionou o cumprimento do arcabou\u00e7o fiscal caso haja \u201ccoisas mais importantes para fazer\u201d, levando a divisa norte-americana a superar novamente 5,60 reais.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">PIB e Selic<\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Pela quinta semana consecutiva, os economistas tamb\u00e9m mantiveram a expectativa para o patamar da taxa b\u00e1sica de juros Selic neste ano e no pr\u00f3ximo, a 10,50% e 9,50%, respectivamente.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Na decis\u00e3o mais recente, de junho, o Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) do Banco Central manteve os juros em 10,5%, por unanimidade, e comunicou a \u201cinterrup\u00e7\u00e3o\u201d do ciclo de cortes. O colegiado volta a se reunir nos dias 30 e 31, quarta e quinta-feira da pr\u00f3xima semana.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Os analistas consultados no Focus tamb\u00e9m subiram pela terceira semana a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para o crescimento do PIB neste ano, agora em 2,15%, de 2,11% no levantamento anterior. No entanto, a expectativa para a alta do PIB em 2025 caiu a 1,93%, ante 1,97% h\u00e1 uma semana.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Na semana passada, o Minist\u00e9rio da Fazenda manteve a estimativa de avan\u00e7o de 2,5% do PIB em 2024. J\u00e1 para 2025, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o de expans\u00e3o foi revisada de 2,8% para 2,6%.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Fonte: <a href=\"https:\/\/istoedinheiro.com.br\/mercado-volta-a-projetar-inflacao-acima-de-4-e-projeta-dolar-mais-alto\/\" data-type=\"link\" data-id=\"https:\/\/istoedinheiro.com.br\/mercado-volta-a-projetar-inflacao-acima-de-4-e-projeta-dolar-mais-alto\/\">Isto \u00e9 Dinheiro<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0 Analistas consultados pelo Banco Central voltaram a subir a expectativa para a alta do IPCA ao fim deste ano, superando novamente 4%, assim como tamb\u00e9m melhoraram suas proje\u00e7\u00f5es para a economia de 2024 e elevaram a perspectiva para o d\u00f3lar neste ano e no pr\u00f3ximo, de acordo a pesquisa Focus divulgada nesta segunda-feira, 22. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5439,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5233","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-fortune-one"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Mercado volta a projetar infla\u00e7\u00e3o acima de 4% em 2024 e prev\u00ea d\u00f3lar mais alto - The Fortune.one<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Somos especialistas em gest\u00e3o patrimonial, op\u00e7\u00f5es de investimentos para diversos perfis, nosso diferencial \u00e9 comprovado com resultados.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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