infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong><\/a> global parece ter finalmente virado a chave, e os pre\u00e7os de bens e servi\u00e7os come\u00e7am a subir a um ritmo mais lento de forma consistente, embora estejam ainda em patamar desconfort\u00e1vel.<\/p>\n\n\n\nO processo de desinfla\u00e7\u00e3o global come\u00e7ou pela queda nos pre\u00e7os de bens industriais, de alimentos e de energia, ap\u00f3s a redu\u00e7\u00e3o do impacto da pandemia de covid-19 nas cadeias mundiais de produ\u00e7\u00e3o e tamb\u00e9m dos efeitos da guerra na Ucr\u00e2nia. Com isso, os pre\u00e7os do petr\u00f3leo, do g\u00e1s natural, de gr\u00e3os, de metais e de outras commodities recuaram de n\u00edveis recordes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nos EUA, a infla\u00e7\u00e3o anual desacelerou para 3% em junho. O contraste n\u00e3o poderia ser mais impressionante: em junho de 2022 a alta anual no \u00edndice de pre\u00e7os ao consumidor americano foi de 9,1%, recorde em 40 anos. Na Zona do Euro, a infla\u00e7\u00e3o passou de 10,6%, em outubro de 2022, para 5,5% em junho. E no Brasil, o IPCA recuou de 12,13%, no acumulado em 12 meses em abril de 2022, para uma taxa de 3,16% em junho.<\/p>\n\n\n\nUm dos fatores que d\u00e3o confian\u00e7a de que a alta no custo de vida pode seguir perdendo f\u00f4lego no mundo vem da China. L\u00e1, a infla\u00e7\u00e3o ao consumidor ficou est\u00e1vel em junho, ap\u00f3s ter subido apenas 0,2% em maio, mas os pre\u00e7os de produtos na porta das f\u00e1bricas j\u00e1 est\u00e3o registrando forte defla\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O cen\u00e1rio econ\u00f4mico do Brasil e do mundo e as implica\u00e7\u00f5es para o seu bolso, de segunda a sexta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O \u00edndice de pre\u00e7os ao produtor na China caiu 5,4% no acumulado em 12 meses em junho. A expectativa, portanto, \u00e9 de que a China comece a exportar desinfla\u00e7\u00e3o para outros pa\u00edses. Nos EUA, por exemplo, os pre\u00e7os de produtos importados da China registraram queda de 0,4%, em junho ante maio, e recuo de 2,3% ante igual m\u00eas de 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Mas j\u00e1 d\u00e1 para dizer que o fantasma da infla\u00e7\u00e3o ficou para tr\u00e1s? Ainda n\u00e3o. Isso porque, quando se leva em conta o n\u00facleo da infla\u00e7\u00e3o, que exclui os itens mais vol\u00e1teis de alimentos e de energia, a din\u00e2mica dos pre\u00e7os se mostra persistentemente elevada e longe da meta perseguida pela maioria dos bancos centrais. Nos EUA, o n\u00facleo da infla\u00e7\u00e3o ficou em 4,8% em junho. No Brasil, a m\u00e9dia dos n\u00facleos do IPCA subiu 5,99%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
O que ainda preocupa aqui e l\u00e1 fora \u00e9 a infla\u00e7\u00e3o de servi\u00e7os, pressionada por um mercado de trabalho robusto e pela resili\u00eancia de alguns setores da economia ao aperto monet\u00e1rio j\u00e1 adotado. Talvez a infla\u00e7\u00e3o ao consumidor n\u00e3o recue mais para n\u00edveis t\u00e3o baixos do passado, e siga acima das metas fixadas pelos bancos centrais. Mas o pior j\u00e1 passou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Fonte:https:\/\/www.estadao.com.br\/economia\/fabio-alves\/inflacao-vira-chave\/<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
O que ainda preocupa no Brasil e l\u00e1 fora \u00e9 a infla\u00e7\u00e3o de servi\u00e7os, mas o pior cen\u00e1rio j\u00e1 parece ter passado Depois de causar um estrago na credibilidade de bancos centrais ao redor do mundo e de for\u00e7ar um dos maiores ciclos de alta de juros desde a d\u00e9cada de 1980, no caso dos Estados Unidos, a infla\u00e7\u00e3o global […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":3970,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3969","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-fortune-one"],"yoast_head":"\n
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